Sassari Torres 0-1 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.85
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-10.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.08/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.85
-17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Athletic Carpi
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2025 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 4-2 HT 0-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
07.12.2024 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 1-2 HT 1-2 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassari Torres
0-1
AWAY Athletic Carpi
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi squeezed past Sassari Torres 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sassari Torres at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sassari Torres had 59% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 41%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sassari Torres and 1.50 for Athletic Carpi.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Athletic Carpi?

Sassari Torres 0-1 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 46%, draw 25%, Athletic Carpi 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sassari Torres), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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