Sassari Torres 4-2 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 33% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.37/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.27
-21% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Athletic Carpi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 1-2 HT 1-2 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassari Torres
4-2
AWAY Athletic Carpi
50% Ball Possession 50%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres saw off Athletic Carpi 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassari Torres had 50% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 50%, shots finished 23-6.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Athletic Carpi?

Sassari Torres 4-2 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 48%, draw 27%, Athletic Carpi 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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