Arezzo vs Lucchese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arezzo v Lucchese — Team-Based Signals
Arezzo vs Lucchese Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Lucchese
İTC
3-4
HT 2-2
Lucchese
İTCK
1-2
HT 0-0
Lucchese
İTC
Arezzo 4-1 Lucchese — Actual Match Statistics
Arezzo cruised past Lucchese 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Arezzo made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Arezzo had 58% of the ball to Lucchese's 42%, shots finished 10-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lucchese led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Arezzo and 1.60 for Lucchese.
What was the final score of Arezzo vs Lucchese?
Arezzo 4-1 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Lucchese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 38%, draw 31%, Lucchese 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.