Gubbio 3-2 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.9pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.30/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.00
+7% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Milan II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Milan II Milan II 1-0 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
3-2
AWAY Milan II
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio nicked a narrow win over Milan II 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gubbio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gubbio had 40% of the ball to Milan II's 60%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Milan II?

Gubbio 3-2 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 39%, draw 27%, Milan II 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
23 Apr 2025
00:00 Sestri Levante vs Ascoli Analysis →
19:00 Ternana vs Pianese Analysis →
19:00 Sassari Torres vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →
19:00 Arezzo vs Lucchese Analysis →
19:00 Legnago Salus vs Pescara Analysis →
19:00 Pontedera vs Rimini Analysis →