Ternana 2-0 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.36
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
13%
+12.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.62/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.06
+54% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pianese
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Pianese Pianese 1-3 HT 0-2 Ternana Ternana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
2-0
AWAY Pianese
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana beat Pianese 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ternana had 51% of the ball to Pianese's 49%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Pianese?

Ternana 2-0 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ternana 50%, draw 25%, Pianese 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ BTTS No
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