Pontedera 3-0 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 35% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +19%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.21
+9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rimini
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Rimini Rimini 5-1 HT 3-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
18.02.2024 Rimini Rimini 3-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
16.10.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 4-0 HT 3-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
11.05.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 2-1 Rimini Rimini İTC
11.03.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
05.11.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-0 HT 1-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
3-0
AWAY Rimini
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera swept aside Rimini 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pontedera as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Pontedera had 35% of the ball to Rimini's 65%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontedera had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pontedera and 1.67 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Rimini?

Pontedera 3-0 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 46%, draw 26%, Rimini 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontedera), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontedera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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