Köln 4-1 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 Nov 2025

Köln
4 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Hamburg
📅02/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Köln vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.28
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.2
Over Pick
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.69
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
29%
2.74
6+
11%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.32
1/2
3%
25.5
1/X
5%
11.8
X/1
13%
5.89
X/2
12%
6.48
X/X
16%
5.42
2/1
3%
23.55
2/2
18%
3.87
2/X
5%
12.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Köln v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Köln The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Hamburg The Market 38%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.69 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3

Köln vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hamburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
366 Passes 365
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Hamburg Hamburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
02.08.2024 Köln Köln 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
07.01.2023 Köln Köln 4-0 HT 2-0 Hamburg Hamburg HAZ
18.01.2022 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AFK
15.04.2019 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
05.11.2018 Hamburg Hamburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2

Köln 4-1 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
4 - 1
AWAY Hamburg
3.72 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
326 Passes 350
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
35 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Köln vs Hamburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Köln dismantled Hamburg 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As we said in the preview, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came home.

Under the surface, Hamburg saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 3.72 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Köln against 1.00 for Hamburg.

Köln vs Hamburg Result & Final Score

Köln 4 - 1 Hamburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Köln vs Hamburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Köln 41%, draw 26%, Hamburg 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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