Salzburg 4-1 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.0
Over 2.5
63%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
11.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.65
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.76
X/2
7%
7.58
X/X
7%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.7
2/2
15%
5.43
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
46%
-9.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
54%
+9.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.97/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.64
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.5 Crosses 13.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ried
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.58 xG 0.95
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
460 Passes 207
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
39 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.08.2025 Ried Ried 2-2 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
26.02.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
10.09.2022 Ried Ried 0-3 HT 0-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
01.05.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AUK
30.10.2021 Ried Ried 2-2 HT 1-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
01.08.2021 Salzburg Salzburg 7-1 HT 2-0 Ried Ried AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
4-1
AWAY Ried
2.11 xG 0.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
467 Passes 301
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg ran out comfortable winners over Ried 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Salzburg had 60% of the ball to Ried's 40%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.11 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Salzburg and 0.83 for Ried.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Ried?

Salzburg 4-1 Ried in the Austria - Bundesliga on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 52%, draw 21%, Ried 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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