USM Alger 1-0 ASO Chlef — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.69
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.3 — our 38% vs market 35.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY ASO Chlef EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.57/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.27
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
2W-1D-3L
AWAY ASO Chlef
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.04.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 1-2 HT 0-1 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
26.10.2024 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
25.05.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 0-1 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
05.01.2024 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 0-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
10.07.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 1-3 HT 1-1 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
11.12.2022 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 2-1 HT 1-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-0
AWAY ASO Chlef
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs ASO Chlef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger edged past ASO Chlef 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, USM Alger had 54% of the ball to ASO Chlef's 46%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ASO Chlef led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM Alger and 1.33 for ASO Chlef.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs ASO Chlef?

USM Alger 1-0 ASO Chlef in the Algeria - 1st Division on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs ASO Chlef?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 56%, draw 25%, ASO Chlef 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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