Harju Jalgpallikool 4-1 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -26%
1.52/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.99
-18% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.07.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 3-1 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
03.05.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-3 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
09.03.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
31.10.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-2 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
16.09.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
28.06.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
4-1
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool ran out comfortable winners over Tallinna Kalev 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Harju Jalgpallikool as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 66% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 34%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 1.50 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna Kalev?

Harju Jalgpallikool 4-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harju Jalgpallikool win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 53%, draw 25%, Tallinna Kalev 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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