Gor Mahia 1-1 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.9pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.88/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.21
+39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
18.12.2024 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 3-0 HT 2-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
05.03.2022 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 2-1 HT 2-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gor Mahia
1-1
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia and Ulinzi Stars couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gor Mahia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Gor Mahia had 59% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 41%, shots finished 5-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gor Mahia and 0.50 for Ulinzi Stars.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Ulinzi Stars?

Gor Mahia 1-1 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 49%, draw 32%, Ulinzi Stars 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gor Mahia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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