Homeboyz vs Tusker Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Homeboyz v Tusker — Team-Based Signals
Homeboyz vs Tusker Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Tusker
KEN
1-0
HT 1-0
Tusker
KEN
Homeboyz 1-1 Tusker — Actual Match Statistics
Homeboyz and Tusker shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Homeboyz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Homeboyz had 57% of the ball to Tusker's 43%, shots finished 13-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Homeboyz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Homeboyz and 1.00 for Tusker.
What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Tusker?
Homeboyz 1-1 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Tusker?
Before kick-off our model rated a Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 44%, draw 35%, Tusker 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Homeboyz), BTTS No went the other way.