Trofense 0-1 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-11.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+11.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.31/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.44
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Amarante
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 1-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
11.08.2024 Amarante Amarante 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
0-1
AWAY Amarante
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante nicked a narrow win over Trofense 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Trofense at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trofense had 69% of the ball to Amarante's 31%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Trofense and 0.50 for Amarante.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Amarante?

Trofense 0-1 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Trofense 54%, draw 24%, Amarante 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
2 Nov 2025
18:00 Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Sanjoanense Analysis →
18:00 Paredes vs Sao Joao Ver Analysis →
18:00 Mafra vs Atletico CP Analysis →
18:00 Sporting Covilha vs Amora FC Analysis →
18:00 CF Os Belenenses vs Uniao Santarem Analysis →