AVS 2-2 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 2 Nov 2025

AVS
2-2 HT 1-1
Tondela
📅02/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.59
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
19%
4.28
6+
10%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.62
1/2
10%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
11%
6.21
X/2
11%
5.2
X/X
8%
3.97
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.51
2/X
11%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.17/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.55
-7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +96%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
13.3 Crosses 8.5
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Tondela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.69 xG 1.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
228 Passes 125
63% Pass Accuracy 54%
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 AVS AVS 0-1 HT 0-1 Tondela Tondela POR2
14.01.2024 Tondela Tondela 3-2 HT 1-1 AVS AVS POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
2-2
AWAY Tondela
0.92 xG 1.86
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
291 Passes 243
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AVS vs Tondela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS and Tondela couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AVS had 55% of the ball to Tondela's 45%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.92 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AVS and 2.00 for Tondela.

What was the final score of AVS vs Tondela?

AVS 2-2 Tondela in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Tondela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AVS 33%, draw 27%, Tondela 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tondela), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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