AVS vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AVS v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
AVS vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
AVS 0-1 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela edged past AVS 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AVS at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, AVS had 64% of the ball to Tondela's 36%, shots finished 29-12, expected goals 2.85 to 1.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured AVS.
What was the final score of AVS vs Tondela?
AVS 0-1 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AVS vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated a AVS win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AVS 57%, draw 20%, Tondela 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.