Santa Clara 2-0 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.47
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.82
Over 2.5
33%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
64%
-17.5pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.0pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
51%
+15.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
49%
-15.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 17%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.61/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.38
-29% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses 9.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.97 xG 0.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
469 Passes 290
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
16.10.2021 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 0-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
06.04.2003 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-3 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
10.11.2002 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 3-1 HT 2-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
20.01.2002 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
19.08.2001 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-2 HT 2-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
2-0
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.25 xG 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
24 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
287 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara beat Uniao De Leiria 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Santa Clara had 47% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 53%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.25 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Clara and 1.50 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Uniao De Leiria?

Santa Clara 2-0 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 46%, draw 29%, Uniao De Leiria 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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