UD Oliveirense 1-3 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.57/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.38
+33% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leixoes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
253 Passes 279
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.01.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 0-2 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
21.01.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-2 HT 1-2 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
19.11.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 2-1 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense PORLC
05.04.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
06.01.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
09.11.2019 Leixoes Leixoes 3-2 HT 1-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
1-3
AWAY Leixoes
0.73 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
320 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes beat UD Oliveirense 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Leixoes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 50% of the ball to Leixoes's 50%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.73 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Oliveirense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.33 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Leixoes?

UD Oliveirense 1-3 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Oliveirense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 36%, draw 30%, Leixoes 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Oliveirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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