Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
5.96
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.96
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
10%
5.11
X/2
11%
5.52
X/X
12%
3.59
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.45
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -25%
1.36/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.15
-45% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
17.3 Crosses 15.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
4W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
240 Passes 362
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-7 HT 0-5 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
31.10.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 4-1 HT 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
23.09.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
10.08.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
2-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.85 xG 0.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
252 Passes 239
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad saw off FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 51% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 49%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.85 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 0.50 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 43%, draw 27%, FC Akhmat Grozny 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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