Krasnodar 2-1 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.82
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
20%
4.71
X/2
9%
7.15
X/X
7%
4.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
24.85
2/2
12%
5.33
2/X
12%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 13% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.72/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.03
-7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +46%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
14.1 Crosses 15.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 0.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-2 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar HAZ
01.12.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-3 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
19.10.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-3 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
11.05.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
01.11.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-3 HT 2-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
02.09.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
2-1
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.54 xG 0.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
211 Passes 300
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Krasnodar vs Spartak Moskova
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Krasnodar edged past Spartak Moskova 2-1 in the Russia - Premier League on 2 Nov 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Krasnodar had 43% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 57%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.54 to 0.56.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Krasnodar and 1.50 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Spartak Moskova?

Krasnodar 2-1 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 44%, draw 25%, Spartak Moskova 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
2 Nov 2025
12:00 FK Orenburg vs FC Sochi Analysis →
17:00 Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Akhmat Grozny Analysis →