Spartak Moskova 3-2 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.46
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.65
X/2
9%
5.98
X/X
12%
5.2
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
24%
3.77
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.73/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.84
-53% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
307 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-3 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
19.10.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-3 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
11.05.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
01.11.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-3 HT 2-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
02.09.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
27.07.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
3-2
AWAY Krasnodar
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Spartak Moskova vs Krasnodar
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Spartak Moskova edged past Krasnodar 3-2 in the Friendlies on 30 Jan 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 52% of the ball to Krasnodar's 48%, shots finished 20-10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.50 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Krasnodar?

Spartak Moskova 3-2 Krasnodar in the Friendlies on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 34%, draw 27%, Krasnodar 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Krasnodar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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