Chonburi vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chonburi v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Chonburi vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
BG Pathum United
TAY
1-0
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
4-1
HT 1-0
Chonburi
TAY
Chonburi 1-2 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United squeezed past Chonburi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; BG Pathum United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chonburi had 45% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 55%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.35 to 1.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chonburi and 2.00 for BG Pathum United.
What was the final score of Chonburi vs BG Pathum United?
Chonburi 1-2 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chonburi vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chonburi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chonburi 37%, draw 28%, BG Pathum United 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.