Muang Thong United 1-4 Prachuap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Prachuap EU Bookmakers 27%
+16% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.69/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.12
+28% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.5 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Prachuap
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
360 Passes 287
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Prachuap Prachuap 5-0 HT 3-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
02.11.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 0-2 HT 0-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
03.03.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 1-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
18.03.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 0-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
23.10.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 5-0 HT 3-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
04.05.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 1-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
1-4
AWAY Prachuap
1.60 xG 1.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 3
348 Passes 256
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Prachuap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap cruised past Muang Thong United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Muang Thong United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 56% of the ball to Prachuap's 44%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 1.60 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.50 for Prachuap.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Prachuap?

Muang Thong United 1-4 Prachuap in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Prachuap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 50%, draw 25%, Prachuap 25%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muang Thong United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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