Prachuap 5-0 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
38%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
35%
+11.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.35/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.06
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.8 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Muang Thong United
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.96 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 Passes 386
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 0-2 HT 0-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
03.03.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 1-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
18.03.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 0-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
23.10.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 5-0 HT 3-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
04.05.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 1-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
5-0
AWAY Muang Thong United
2.49 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
334 Passes 228
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap ran out comfortable winners over Muang Thong United 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Muang Thong United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Prachuap had 56% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 44%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 2.49 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Prachuap and 2.00 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Muang Thong United?

Prachuap 5-0 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 28%, draw 26%, Muang Thong United 46%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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