Buriram United 5-0 Nakhon Ratchasima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.11
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
85%
-16.1pp
18%
Draw
9%
+8.4pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.5pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.16/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.84
+35% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -21%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
428 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
24.3 Crosses 13.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.89 xG 0.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
290 Passes 258
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-5 HT 0-2 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
13.08.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-2 HT 1-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
27.02.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 0-3 HT 0-2 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
17.10.2021 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
5-0
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
1.48 xG 0.39
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
532 Passes 178
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Nakhon Ratchasima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United swept aside Nakhon Ratchasima 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Buriram United had 71% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 29%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.48 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Buriram United and 0.50 for Nakhon Ratchasima.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Buriram United 5-0 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 69%, draw 18%, Nakhon Ratchasima 14%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
16 Mar 2025
14:00 Prachuap vs Muang Thong United Analysis →
14:00 Chiangrai United vs Rayong FC Analysis →
15:00 Thai Port FC vs Bangkok United Analysis →