Chiangrai United 1-0 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.52
Over 2.5
27%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+11.2pp
73%
Under 2.5
62%
+11.5pp
27%
Over 2.5
38%
-11.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
43%
-8.3pp
66%
BTTS No
57%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.22/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.06
-27% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 66%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
14.7 Crosses 27.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayong FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.47 xG 1.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
203 Passes 226
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 31
25 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Rayong FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
1-0
AWAY Rayong FC
0.58 xG 0.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
253 Passes 260
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United squeezed past Rayong FC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chiangrai United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 49% of the ball to Rayong FC's 51%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.58 to 0.30.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Rayong FC?

Chiangrai United 1-0 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 34%, draw 28%, Rayong FC 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rayong FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayong FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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