BG Pathum United vs Chonburi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Chonburi — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Chonburi Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
BG Pathum United
TAY
1-0
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
4-1
HT 1-0
Chonburi
TAY
BG Pathum United 1-1 Chonburi — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United and Chonburi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had BG Pathum United at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 69% of the ball to Chonburi's 31%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 1.86 to 1.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.00 for Chonburi.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Chonburi?
BG Pathum United 1-1 Chonburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Chonburi?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 56%, draw 22%, Chonburi 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.