Ratchaburi 1-4 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+9.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 66%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
0.61/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.85
-43% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +40%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
259 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
11.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
15.3 Crosses 20.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Buriram United
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.28 xG 1.49
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
253 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
25.11.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
05.03.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
24.10.2021 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
1-4
AWAY Buriram United
0.93 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
379 Passes 328
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United ran out comfortable winners over Ratchaburi 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 52% of the ball to Buriram United's 48%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.93 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.25 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Buriram United?

Ratchaburi 1-4 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 26%, draw 23%, Buriram United 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
20 Apr 2024
14:00 BG Pathum United vs Chonburi Analysis →
14:30 Police Tero vs Uthai Thani Analysis →
15:00 Khonkaen Utd vs Trat Analysis →