Police Tero 1-0 Uthai Thani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.2pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police Tero EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.79/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-35% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police Tero
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Uthai Thani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
26.11.2023 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 0-1 HT 0-1 Police Tero Police Tero TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police Tero
1-0
AWAY Uthai Thani
0.34 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
308 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Police Tero vs Uthai Thani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police Tero squeezed past Uthai Thani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Uthai Thani at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Police Tero had 49% of the ball to Uthai Thani's 51%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.34 to 1.33 — on chances, Uthai Thani could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Police Tero vs Uthai Thani?

Police Tero 1-0 Uthai Thani in the Thailand - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police Tero vs Uthai Thani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uthai Thani win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Police Tero 33%, draw 26%, Uthai Thani 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uthai Thani) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uthai Thani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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