Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.84/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.00
-31% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Danubio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2025 Danubio Danubio 1-2 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
03.05.2025 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
17.11.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
19.05.2024 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
14.10.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
04.03.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-2
AWAY Danubio
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio edged past Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club Montevideo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 43% of the ball to Danubio's 57%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 0.33 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Danubio?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 41%, draw 27%, Danubio 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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