Cerro 0-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
61%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
61%
Away Win
63%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 67%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.13/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.67
+47% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
244 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
03.11.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
10.06.2024 Cerro Cerro 3-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
29.04.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
16.10.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
03.06.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
0-0
AWAY Nacional de Football
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro and Nacional de Football fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Nacional de Football carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cerro had 27% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 73%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro and 1.83 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Nacional de Football?

Cerro 0-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cerro 15%, draw 24%, Nacional de Football 61%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
2 Nov 2025
16:00 CA River Plate vs Miramar Misiones Analysis →
22:30 Racing Club Montevideo vs Danubio Analysis →