Nacional de Football vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Cerro
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
URU
2-2
HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
URU
Nacional de Football 4-0 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football ran out comfortable winners over Cerro 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 62% of the ball to Cerro's 38%, shots finished 14-2.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nacional de Football and 1.33 for Cerro.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Cerro?
Nacional de Football 4-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 59%, draw 24%, Cerro 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.