Boston River 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.49/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.10
+29% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Boston River Boston River 3-2 HT 0-2 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
01.04.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
13.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
23.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
02.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
24.10.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
1-0
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River squeezed past Montevideo Wanderers 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boston River as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Boston River had 46% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 54%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Boston River and 1.00 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Boston River 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Boston River 41%, draw 26%, Montevideo Wanderers 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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