Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-1
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-2
HT 1-1
CA Penarol
URU
Defensor Sporting 0-1 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol squeezed past Defensor Sporting 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; CA Penarol found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 54% of the ball to CA Penarol's 46%, shots finished 11-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.83 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol?
Defensor Sporting 0-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 34%, draw 28%, CA Penarol 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.