CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-1
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-2
HT 1-1
CA Penarol
URU
2-3
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
CA Penarol 2-0 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol saw off Defensor Sporting 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, CA Penarol had 60% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 40%, shots finished 23-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CA Penarol and 1.00 for Defensor Sporting.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
CA Penarol 2-0 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 53%, draw 25%, Defensor Sporting 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.