CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
CA Penarol v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CA Penarol 1-0 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Defensor Sporting 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 48%.
Under the surface, CA Penarol had 57% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 43%, shots finished 11-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CA Penarol and 1.17 for Defensor Sporting.
CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Result & Final Score
CA Penarol 1 - 0 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 54%, draw 26%, Defensor Sporting 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.