CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-1
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-2
HT 1-1
CA Penarol
URU
2-3
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
0-1
HT 0-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
CA Penarol 1-0 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol nicked a narrow win over Defensor Sporting 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, CA Penarol had 57% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 43%, shots finished 11-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CA Penarol and 1.17 for Defensor Sporting.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
CA Penarol 1-0 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 47%, draw 22%, Defensor Sporting 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.