Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +8%
1.13/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.40
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Progreso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
04.11.2021 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
11.07.2021 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 2-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
02.02.2021 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
09.08.2020 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
16.11.2019 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1-1
AWAY Progreso
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Progreso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Centro Atletico Fenix and Progreso shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 54% of the ball to Progreso's 46%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Centro Atletico Fenix had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 0.83 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Progreso?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Centro Atletico Fenix win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 40%, draw 23%, Progreso 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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