Progreso vs Centro Atletico Fenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Centro Atletico Fenix — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Centro Atletico Fenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Centro Atletico Fenix
URU
2-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Centro Atletico Fenix
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 2-2 Centro Atletico Fenix — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso and Centro Atletico Fenix couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Progreso had 48% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 52%, shots finished 8-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Centro Atletico Fenix led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Progreso and 1.00 for Centro Atletico Fenix.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Centro Atletico Fenix?
Progreso 2-2 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Centro Atletico Fenix?
Before kick-off our model rated an Centro Atletico Fenix win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Progreso 35%, draw 29%, Centro Atletico Fenix 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.