Boston River 3-2 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.41/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.05
+19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.04.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
13.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
23.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
02.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
24.10.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
12.09.2021 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 0-2 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
3-2
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River nicked a narrow win over Montevideo Wanderers 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Boston River found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston River had 66% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 34%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boston River and 1.17 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Boston River 3-2 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Boston River 37%, draw 28%, Montevideo Wanderers 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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