Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
2-0
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
3-1
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
Nacional de Football 2-1 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football squeezed past CA Penarol 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nacional de Football found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 56% of the ball to CA Penarol's 44%, shots finished 13-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nacional de Football and 1.00 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol?
Nacional de Football 2-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 36%, draw 29%, CA Penarol 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.