CA Penarol 0-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.42/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.29
+13% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.01.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-2 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football HAZ
11.11.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-2 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
01.04.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
04.09.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
27.02.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
31.10.2021 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
0-0
AWAY Nacional de Football
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol and Nacional de Football fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, CA Penarol had 47% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 53%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA Penarol and 1.17 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football?

CA Penarol 0-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 40%, draw 30%, Nacional de Football 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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