Cerro Largo 0-2 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

Cerro Largo
0-2 HT 0-0
Racing Club Montevideo
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Cerro Largo vs Racing Club Montevideo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.0pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerro Largo v Racing Club Montevideo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.19/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.23
-2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Cerro Largo vs Racing Club Montevideo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.47 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
282 Passes 176
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo CON CSA
25.11.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
15.07.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
22.04.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 2-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
16.11.2019 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 2-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
14.09.2019 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo beat Cerro Largo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Racing Club Montevideo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.83 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Cerro Largo 0-2 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 40%, draw 30%, Racing Club Montevideo 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Largo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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