Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
2-0
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
3-1
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
1-0
HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
URU
Nacional de Football 1-1 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football and CA Penarol couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 54% of the ball to CA Penarol's 46%, shots finished 10-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nacional de Football and 1.00 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol?
Nacional de Football 1-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 37%, draw 26%, CA Penarol 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.