Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.39/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.09
+0% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
18.8 Crosses 17.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.04
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
150 Passes 395
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 HT 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
08.06.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 HT 2-1 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
0-1
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
1.51 xG 0.21
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
185 Passes 242
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 11
35 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Hearts of Pine edged past Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Portland Hearts of Pine made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 47% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 53%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.51 to 0.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chattanooga Red Wolves.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chattanooga Red Wolves had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 1.00 for Portland Hearts of Pine.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 40%, draw 28%, Portland Hearts of Pine 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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