Roma 0-2 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 2 Dec 2024

Roma
0-2 HT 0-0
Atalanta
📅02/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Roma vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.86
Over
51%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.69
No
48%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.37
2-3
42%
1.8
4-5
21%
3.59
6+
11%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.76
1/2 ✗
8%
29.0
1/X
10%
14.95
X/1
12%
8.02
X/2
18%
5.26
X/X
9%
5.06
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.15
2/X
7%
14.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Roma v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Roma The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta The Market 49%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.41 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.56
1.04 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.12
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
20.6 Crosses 18.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Roma vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atalanta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 Passes 395
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 2-0 Roma Roma İTA
07.01.2024 Roma Roma 1-1 HT 1-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
24.04.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
18.09.2022 Roma Roma 0-1 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
05.03.2022 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
18.12.2021 Atalanta Atalanta 1-4 HT 1-2 Roma Roma İTA

Roma 0-2 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
0-2
AWAY Atalanta
0.42 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
370 Passes 390
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Roma vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atalanta beat Roma 2-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring. At 1.69 (~59%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: Atalanta saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.42 to 1.30.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Roma against 1.33 for Atalanta.

Roma vs Atalanta Result & Final Score

Roma 0-2 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Roma vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Roma 26%, draw 26%, Atalanta 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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