Aston Villa U21 0-3 Norwich City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.94
Over 2.5
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.33
No
65%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
71%
-35.8pp
65%
BTTS No
29%
+35.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.32/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.50
-7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +95%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
397 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Norwich City U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.16 xG 2.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 5
403 Passes 311
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 1-4 HT 1-1 Norwich City U21 Norwich City U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
0-3
AWAY Norwich City U21
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
399 Passes 441
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Norwich City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City U21 cruised past Aston Villa U21 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aston Villa U21 at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 48% of the ball to Norwich City U21's 52%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Norwich City U21?

Aston Villa U21 0-3 Norwich City U21 in the INGPL2 on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Norwich City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 57%, draw 25%, Norwich City U21 18%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aston Villa U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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