Aston Villa U21 1-4 Norwich City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
40%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
4.0
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.31
No
32%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.5pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
28%
+12.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.5pp
68%
BTTS Yes
72%
-3.9pp
32%
BTTS No
28%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.31/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.35
-14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 18.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
1-4
AWAY Norwich City U21
1.16 xG 2.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 5
403 Passes 311
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Norwich City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City U21 ran out comfortable winners over Aston Villa U21 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 19% / 40% — and on the day Norwich City U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 55% of the ball to Norwich City U21's 45%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.16 to 2.16.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Norwich City U21?

Aston Villa U21 1-4 Norwich City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Norwich City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 41%, draw 19%, Norwich City U21 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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