Middlesbrough U21 2-3 Crystal Palace U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
4.0
Over 2.5
67%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.28
No
40%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.0pp
33%
Under 2.5
22%
+11.9pp
67%
Over 2.5
78%
-11.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
74%
-14.2pp
40%
BTTS No
26%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.00
+78% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +70%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14.1
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
2-3
AWAY Crystal Palace U21
1.25 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs Crystal Palace U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace U21 squeezed past Middlesbrough U21 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Crystal Palace U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 55% of the ball to Crystal Palace U21's 45%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.25 to 1.55.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Middlesbrough U21 2-3 Crystal Palace U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 39%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace U21 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Middlesbrough U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middlesbrough U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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