Chelsea U21 2-0 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.28
No
42%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
74%
-16.1pp
42%
BTTS No
26%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +70%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.2
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
2-0
AWAY Southampton U21
2.31 xG 1.13
39% Ball Possession 61%
19 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
306 Passes 540
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 got the better of Southampton U21 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chelsea U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 39% of the ball to Southampton U21's 61%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.31 to 1.13.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21?

Chelsea U21 2-0 Southampton U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 38%, draw 26%, Southampton U21 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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