Reading U21 3-0 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.59
Over 2.5
66%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.31
No
40%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.4pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.6pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.36/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.43/2.01
+25% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 8.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading U21
3-0
AWAY Manchester City U21
1.50 xG 0.93
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 9
14 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
180 Passes 494
73% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reading U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading U21 swept aside Manchester City U21 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester City U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Reading U21 had 33% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 67%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.50 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Reading U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Reading U21 3-0 Manchester City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Reading U21 31%, draw 20%, Manchester City U21 49%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester City U21), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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