Stoke City U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City U21 v Newcastle United U21 — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City U21 1-2 Newcastle United U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United U21 edged past Stoke City U21 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Stoke City U21 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.
On the day, Stoke City U21 had 35% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 65%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.66 to 1.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Newcastle United U21's control.
What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Newcastle United U21?
Stoke City U21 1-2 Newcastle United U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Newcastle United U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 47%, draw 20%, Newcastle United U21 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stoke City U21) went the other way.